South Africa | May 2007
In this month's issue
Headlines
Experian creates a new global business line, Experian Decision Analytics
Integration of credit risk and analytics business of Experian-Scorex with Experian's fraud and identity solution businesses.
Save the date for Experian's 15th Annual Conference
Experian's Annual Conference is to to be held at Zimbali Lodge, KwaZulu Natal from the 19 - 21st of September 2007 .
Experian launches Delphi for New Markets in June 2007
This scorecard has been developed to enable lenders to accurately score the characteristics of this segment.
Knowledge

Data shifts as a result of the National Credit Act – the need for continuous review
The Act will lead to additional and far reaching effects on consumer behaviour, which may, in turn result in further data shifts, learn more.

Fraud Focus
First Party Fraud - the sleeper within
This type of fraud relates to customers committing fraud using either their own or completely false details which is attributable to 5-20% of an organisations bad debt book.
Exciting opportunities at Experian
Find out about the job vacancies now available.
QUICK LINKS
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Fraud Focus
Careers
 

Headlines

Experian creates a new global business line, Experian Decision Analytics

Experian has combined the Experian-Scorex credit risk and analytics business with its fraud and identity solutions business to create a new global business line – Experian Decision Analytics.

Experian Decision Analytics will provide better and more integrated services for its clients across the globe, delivering a complete set of proven solutions to tackle credit risk management and fraud challenges throughout the customer life cycle.

Decision analytics is the process of managing and enriching customer data to enable organisations to make the right decisions for each customer, tailored to their individual circumstances, in order to maximise profitability and performance of each relationship. Spanning every aspect of the customer relationship, this includes targeting the right prospective customers and making fast, accurate and consistent decisions about applicants, through to appropriate customer management and reducing losses by quickly identifying higher risk customers for effective collections activity.

Experian's fraud and identity solutions include the market-leading Hunter and Detect credit application fraud services, Authenticate, for the authentication of identities of individuals transacting over the Internet, and anti-money laundering solutions. Experian provides fraud and identity solutions throughout the United Kingdom, Australia, South Africa, Europe and the Asia-Pacific region. Integration of these solutions into Experian Decision Analytics will enable the global business line to expand their availability further into new markets as consumer credit grows in global markets, and to address the strategic risk and fraud challenges faced by lenders in these markets.

Elio Vitucci, Managing Director of Experian Decision Analytics, commented: “Our clients will benefit from the synergies between our fraud and credit risk expertise by having all the tools to manage their customers with just one proven provider of decisioning technology. At the same time, we will be better placed to develop new solutions for the effective management of the complete customer cycle.”

Gary Woods, Managing Director, Fraud and Identity Solutions, Experian Decision Analytics, added: “With fraud a major problem for our clients, Experian Decision Analytics is able to provide the right tools to tackle it and to minimise its impact whilst ensuring that our clients meet their business objectives and make the right decisions for the right customers.”

For further information on this press release, please contact Natasha Horwitz on + 27 11 799 3400. Top ˆ

 


Save the date for Experian's 15th Annual Conference
Experian South Africa's 15th Annual Conference is to be held at Zimbali Lodge, KwaZulu Natal on 19 - 21 September 2007.

Save the date for this year's conference which promises to be an excellent event. We look forward to seeing you there!

For further information on this conference, please click here
 

 
Experian launches Delphi for New Markets in June 2007
The growing opportunity and need for lenders to provide credit products to consumers who ordinarily wouldn't qualify based on traditional scoring methods and cut-offs has lead to the introduction of Delphi for New Markets.

This customer acquisition scorecard has been developed to enable lenders to score the characteristics of this segment differently from the traditional market. Experian will offer this score, to be launched in June 2007, as an alternative to the traditional Delphi score, which has been the flagship of the Delphi product range for over 20 years.

Delphi for New Markets (DNM) is a suite of highly predictive generic bureau scorecards that can be used in any consumer credit application processing environment to assess the credit risk of new market entrants, new portfolios and emerging markets were such segments.

The DNM scoring models are designed to predict the likelihood that a new applicant for credit will become a ‘good' payer, within a higher risk portfolio, if accepted.

The key to their predictive power lies in Experian's:

  • Consumer database - one of SA's largest, most dynamic and up to date set of consumer files.
  • Vast experience in developing scoring solutions - DNM has been developed locally for the South African market by scoring specialists who have leveraged the global expertise that have established Experian as a world leader in scoring analytics for over 20 years.
  • Unique combination of statistical and segmentation techniques – turning consumer bureau data into genuine customer intelligence.

DNM key features

  •  Ideal for new market entrants, new portfolios and emerging markets where data is not available for a custom scorecard build.
  • A scorecard developed locally – analysts are available to provide support whenever required.
  • Has been developed according to rules prescribed by the National Credit Act (NCA).
  • Has been built using National Loans Register (NLR) and Consumer Credit Association (CCA) data.
  • Simplifies the interpretation of credit bureau data by delivering a single predictive score .
  • Improves discrimination when used alongside bespoke scorecards.
  • Powerful enough to be used as a stand-alone credit scorecard.
  • Application characteristics can be added to increase predictive power for specific vertical markets/ organisations.
  • Regularly reviewed to reflect latest data and economic conditions.

Key benefits of DNM

Enhanced predictive power

DNM features proven enhanced predictive strength to maximize profitable lending within new markets.

Better decisions

Access to Experian's vast array of data assets and analytics enable you to make the right acquisition decisions to grow your business but at the same time control bad debt, business risk and exposure.

Compliant

DNM has been built taking South African regulatory requirements into account. This means that DNM is fully aligned with the National Credit Act (NCA) and other national regulatory frameworks

Cost effective

As a bureau based service it frees up time and cost associated with the development, implementation and monitoring of custom scorecards.

No degradation over time

Because DNM is regularly updated, your scorecards and quality of decision-making will not deteriorate over time as they would with a custom scorecard development.

Tailored to business requirements

Where needed, additional characteristics can be added for specific organizations or market sectors to ensure the overall scoring solution meets every business requirement.
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For further information, please contact Tracey Dent on +27 11 799 3400 or click here
  Knowledge


Data shifts as a result of the National Credit Act – the need for continuous review.


It is a challenging time for the South African credit industry - credit providers and bureaux have been working flat out to ensure compliance to the National Credit Act (NCA) by 1 June 2007. The greater challenge, however, is that work is not likely to end there. It is anticipated that the Act will lead to additional and far reaching effects on consumer behaviour, which may, in turn result in further data shifts that will impact the stability of decision processing systems:

1. Section 73 – Data Amnesty

Section 73 of the National Credit Act prescribes that the following data items must be deleted by all registered credit bureaux prior to 1 June 2007:

•  Adverse consumer credit information in respect of debts of less than R500;

•  All consumer credit information relating to dormant accounts (no activity for 24 months)

•  Judgments of value up to R500, except if the consumer has more than 2 judgments on his/her credit record.

•  Judgments of value up to R5 000, older than 18 months except if the consumer has more than 2 judgments on his/her credit record.

•  Judgments of value up to R50 000 if balance has been paid up

These deletions are expected to result in an immediate positive score shift, as shown below in Figure 1.

However, the deletions are intended as a ‘once off' amnesty, which we do not expect will be repeated. This essentially means that the future is not going to be exactly like the past. Since scorecard modeling is developed around the assumption that the future will be like the past it is clear that this will impact scorecard stability, and possibly performance.

We cannot predict exactly what will occur in the months following the amnesty, but we do expect that the volume of adverse and judgment information stored by the bureaux will gradually increase, perhaps to even greater volumes than immediately prior to the amnesty given that South Africa is entering a high base rate cycle. If this does happen, the result will be a gradual negative score shift.

2. Micro Finance Data

The Usury Act, which divided credit agreements into those exempt from Usury (Microloans) and those within Usury (Other agreements) has fallen away, with pricing governed within the NCA regulations. This means that Microloans may become more difficult to identify – which could have far reaching consequences since behaviour on a microloan is generally distinctly different to behaviour on other credit agreements. Lenders will need to monitor the stability and predictive strength of bureau payment profile variables – and make the required adjustments to their scorecards.

3. Consumer Awareness

One of the aims of the act is to increase credit awareness amongst consumers. Lenders will be expected to fully disclose the cost of credit, allowing consumers more of an opportunity to compare prices, and shop for the best deal available to them. For the lender this means that the deal offered to a consumer needs to be competitive, and also may result in a shift in the profile of the population who ultimately accept a credit product. The impact of this would be a scorecard shift (either positive or negative), which could affect the ability of the scorecard to differentiate between good and bad payers.

Although we cannot fully predict the nature and extent of data shifts following the implementation of the NCA on 1 June, we do expect that there will be data instability over time. Scorecard and decision monitoring is therefore going to become essential in order for the lender to ensure that the models in place are operating as expected.

For further information, please contact Patricia Hattingh on + 27 11 799 3400.
 
   
 Fraud Focus

 


First Party Fraud - the sleeper within

Did you know that 5-20% of your bad debt book could be attributable to first party fraud? This could run into millions of euros and, therefore, even a small reduction in losses could have a major impact on the bottom line. First party fraud is fast becoming the ‘hot topic' of many fraud and credit risk management teams.

‘First party fraud', for the purposes of this article, is customers committing the fraud using either their own or completely false details. Ideally, an organisation could recognise first party fraud by identifying those customers intending not to repay when they take the credit facility. However, intent cannot easily be proved and it is for this reason that many organisations struggle to:

  1. Recognise and actually believe it to be an issue – losses are just seen as normal bad debt where the person cannot afford to repay.   
  2. To make a spilt in their bad debt book between can't pay and won't pay customers in order to effectively measure their first party fraud losses and thus...
  3. Be able to use these identified cases to learn from in order to implement some prevention techniques. 

There are several different types of first party fraud, ranging from transactional fraud, such as under-floor limit debit/credit card spending at merchants, through to application fraud when the customer makes an application using false or incorrect details, to sleeper fraud (or bust-out fraud) where a customer sleeps within the customer database, manipulating their account behaviour in order to obtain higher credit facilities and then not repaying.

First party fraud is highly organised crime and detection is difficult due to the fact that there is no third party victim (apart from the financial organisation) to tell you that a fraud has occurred. This also affects an organisation's ability to clearly define and spilt bad debt losses into can't pay versus won't pay and thus easily be able to build detection tools.

Commercial challenges resulting from first party fraud present some tough decisions for organisations, of which the two most important are:

  1. What level of appetite is there within the organisation in terms of customer impact versus reducing fraud losses? For an effective prevention strategy to be implemented, there could potentially be an impact on genuine customers simply because first party fraudsters are also customers. Decisions have to be made as to whether to only take action on confirmed fraud cases (albeit it may be too late to stop losses) or to take preventative action on an account that is only suspect fraud and risk getting it wrong. 
  2. What type of prevention/detection polices and strategies will be implemented? For example, what type of investigation techniques should be used, as normal third party processes will not be appropriate and reality is that investigation is often down to an analyst's judgment call. The decision of what action to take is critical, as well as the timing of this decision. If an organisation uses false:positive rates in its fraud strategy, it needs to be recognised that, when any preventative action is taken on a suspect case, it will also result in not knowing whether that case is or is not fraud and thus the organisation will not be able to prove any false:positive indicators.

There are many considerations that a financial organisation will need to address if it is going to successfully reduce first party fraud losses. Organisations in the UK and the US have started to recognise and address this emerging trend in the last few years. However, there is no doubt that this is becoming a global problem, which continues to grow. Whilst there are different mitigating strategies and processes that institutions can implement, the key step has to be for organisations to collaborate across the industry to align their first party fraud definition and share data.

 
Careers
EVENTS


Exciting opportunities currently available at Experian:

Infrastructure Manager - This person will report to the IT Manager and is responsible for managing the day to day operations of the Experian Bureau processing environment including (but not limited to) infrastructure (both logical and physical), network connectivity, client expectations and service level agreements. Click here for more information.

Account Manager - The Account Manager is responsible for managing mid to high value clients as part of the Experian Account Management Team. The Account Manager is responsible for building and maintaining deep relationships with Experian's clients. This role is responsible for ongoing account management, revenue generation and client satisfaction including understanding the client's needs to identify opportunities for strategic services. Click here for more information.

Project Manager - Planning, initiation, monitoring and control of projects to deliver quality products/services within budget and on time. Management of delivery procedures, software version control and release procedures. Management of third parties involved in the technical delivery of software solutions. Click here for more information.

To view all Experian's job vacancies please click here

Experian's 15th Annual Conference

19 - 21 September 2007

Zimbali Lodge, KwaZulu Natal

For more info click here

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Introduction to Scoring Workshop

Experian

18 July 2007

For more info click here

 
 
For further information on Experian's job vacancies, please contact Hayley Human or Christiana John on 011 799 3400 or click here

 
About Experian
Events Calendar

Experian is a global leader in providing analytical and information services to organisations and consumers to help manage the risk and reward of commercial and financial decisions. Combining its unique information tools and deep understanding of individuals, markets and economies, Experian partners with organisations around the world to establish and strengthen customer relationships and provide their businesses with competitive advantage. For consumers, Experian delivers critical information that enables them to make financial and purchasing decisions with greater control and confidence. Clients include organisations from financial services, retail and catalogue, telecommunications, utilities, media, insurance, automotive, leisure, e-commerce, manufacturing, property and government sectors. Experian Group Limited is listed on the London Stock Exchange (EXPN) and is a constituent of the FTSE-100 index. It has corporate headquarters in Dublin , Ireland , and operational headquarters in Costa Mesa , California and Nottingham , UK . Experian employs more than 12,500 people in 32 countries worldwide, supporting clients in more than 60 countries. Annual sales are in excess of £1.7.

 
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